Migration Observatory analyses government's proposed settlement rule changes
The Migration Observatory has published an updated analysis of government proposals announced in November 2025 to double the standard waiting period for Indefinite Leave to Remain (ILR) from five to ten years. The changes would introduce mandatory employment requirements and raise language standards for settlement applicants from level B1(intermediate, similar to a GCSE pass) to level B2 (upper-intermediate, similar to an A-level). Under the proposals, care workers and middle-skilled job holders would face a 15-year wait, while refugees would have to wait 20 years. The Home Office projects that 1.6 million people will receive ILR between 2026–30 under current rules, with 2.2 million people currently on settlement pathways potentially affected. A public consultation on these proposals remains open until 12 February 2026.