The County Councils Network (CCN) has published a report warning that annual spending on home-to-school transport for children and young people with special educational needs and disabilities (SEND) could reach £3.4bn by 2030–31, an increase of £1.4bn compared with 2025 levels, unless the system is reformed. If realised, this would represent a five-fold rise on the £645m spent in 2015, when SEND eligibility was expanded. CCN estimates that councils transported 206,000 children and young people with SEND to school in 2025. On current trends, this figure is projected to increase to 311,000 by 2030–31, while average per-pupil transport costs are expected to rise from £9,481 to almost £11,000. The report adds that SEND transport is projected to account for 85% of councils’ total school transport budgets by 2030–31, up from 64% in 2015. Three-quarters of councils surveyed said they plan to tighten eligibility for mainstream school transport in response to rising costs. Although the government has announced plans to fund 90% of the £6.6bn in SEND service deficits, CCN notes that this support does not extend to SEND home-to-school transport costs. CCN is urging ministers to use the forthcoming Schools White Paper to reform Education, Health and Care Plans (EHCPs), tribunals and mainstream provision in order to reduce demand and curb rising transport expenditure.