The International Chamber of Commerce (ICC) Secretary General, John W.H. Denton AO, has warned that fertiliser supply disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz and increasing fragmentation of the multilateral trading system could pose serious risks to global food security. Speaking at the Milken Institute Global Conference in Los Angeles on 6 May 2026 and in an interview with Bloomberg, Denton said that, although tariffs had attracted significant public attention, the more substantial threat to global trade arose from structural uncertainty and disruptions to critical supply chains, particularly fertiliser flows through the Strait of Hormuz. He said rising fertiliser costs and supply shortages were already prompting farmers in Africa and Latin America to reduce or abandon planting, creating simultaneous price and supply shocks that could lead to a severe food crisis within months, similar to conditions preceding the 2008 global food crisis and subsequent political instability linked to the Arab Spring. Denton said ICC was working with the UN Secretary-General’s Strait of Hormuz Task Force to develop a mechanism for restoring fertiliser shipments through the corridor, building on ICC’s involvement in the 2022 Black Sea Grain Agreement. He also referred to ICC and Oxford Economic analysis estimating that policy uncertainty reduced global economic activity by approximately USD 250 billion last year and could cost a further USD 380 billion in future, with implications for employment and economic growth. Denton further stated that the failure of the World Trade Organization’s 14th Ministerial Conference in Yaoundé demonstrated the declining effectiveness of consensus-based multilateralism, with plurilateral arrangements increasingly filling the gap, and said the private sector would need to assume a greater role in addressing global trade and supply chain challenges.