Future energy scenarios 2019

Future energy scenarios 2019
Energy analysis: This analysis looks at the government’s 2019 Future Energy Scenarios (FES) report, published on 11 July 2019. The annual FES sets out a number of credible scenarios for the future development of the GB energy system. This analysis, written by the LexisPSL Energy team, consider some of the key limitations of the FES and what is likely to be required to beat the ‘2050 target’ of an 80% reduction in carbon emissions against 1990 levels or to achieve net zero emissions.
Original news

Net zero carbon emissions by 2050 is ‘achievable’ with ‘immediate action,’ LNB News 11/07/2019 103

The future energy scenarios (FES) report for 2019 has been published, concluding that reaching net zero carbon emissions by 2050 is ‘achievable’ but this requires ‘immediate action across all key technologies and policy areas.’ The FES report provides an overview of key areas in decarbonisation and is published to stimulate debate to influence decisions surrounding carbon reduction and the future of the energy system. The analysis also presents an approach to achieve the net zero emission target, which includes action on electrification and transforming the gas system to accommodate hydrogen.

What is Future Energy Scenarios 2019?

National Grid—in its role as ‘system operator’ for the gas and electricity systems—produces a ‘future energy scenarios’ (FES) document every year. The annual FES sets out a number of credible scenarios for the future development of the GB energy system. These scenarios assume different levels of decentralisation (ie generation not being connected to the transmission system) and decarbonisation.

All scenarios:

  • are GB wide, but include regional variations in how the energy landscape could develop, where evidence is available
  • take a ‘whole system’ view, exploring a future where the different parts of the energy market work together in new ways to maximise efficiency and value for consumers
  • in

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